Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.711191 7.437436 8.275674 9.332046 10.654462 12.295038 14.554869
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.165263 7.185351 8.483312 10.329516 13.034617 17.159644 24.791351
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.902773 7.213514 9.049794 12.031403 17.354496 28.496739 67.943120
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.269783 6.632080 8.662869 12.283335 19.868511 41.904366 382.980364
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.975860 6.481731 8.902508 13.786156 26.882320 108.064041 NaN
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.656810 6.240088 8.954294 15.100767 36.955835 4565.926397 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.237904 5.772446 8.505717 15.171112 44.682557 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.847160 5.297215 7.947380 14.757368 50.894027 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.751094 5.311183 8.363842 17.476679 118.129678 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.782343 5.561786 9.398014 24.074705 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.675180 5.536635 9.819633 29.801457 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.518140 5.387925 9.891356 34.557218 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.283549 5.082391 9.548019 37.083473 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.080247 4.816007 9.252773 40.284793 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.954226 4.698324 9.387863 51.654077 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.723377 4.320765 8.584773 45.521672 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.600185 4.168925 8.492297 53.538699 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.473602 3.993508 8.272736 59.599775 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.315499 3.729628 7.682611 52.827803 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.164620 3.470341 7.068102 44.505942 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.119037 3.446706 7.273092 61.931690 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.121161 3.534504 7.938860 158.440358 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.074889 3.500414 8.131393 423.377346 NaN NaN NaN